there will be 3 or more different cards 8 or lower on the board.
2 Low Cards (example A-2-J-Q), probability of making a low by river = 24%
3 Low Cards (example A-3-4-K) probability of making a low by river = 40%
4 Low Cards (example 3-4-7-8) probability of making a low by river = 49%
If you are constantly playing cards without low possibilities and missing draws, you will deplete your chips in no time. If you are drawing give yourself the opportunity to win part of the pot when you miss your high hand draw but still complete the low. Bottom line here, you are on a flush draw to try to get lucky to get your chips back. especially when they have the second nut low. Omaha hi lo is a game of making the nuts… REPEAT: OMAHA HI LO IS A NUT GAME! Low ends of straights, king high flushes, and non-nut full houses (occasionally top full houses) will often be the end of a bad player’s tournament.
POT SIZE CONTROL:
1. bet enough to slowly build the pot so if you hit your high draw you can quarter the hell out of the other low ;). What do you do?
In a dealt omaha hi lo hand there is a 60% chance of a low being possible by the river… Once again, (in the vast majority of instances)you cannot win here. The flop heads up comes A46 with 2 hearts. If you continue in this hand, you will end up putting MANY or ALL of your chips into the pot and hoping to get lucky to get them back… See how the action goes. If you do make a low heads up against a raise, too often you will get quartered and lose chips to the same low and a better high. YOU CANNOT WIN HERE! I will still fold this hand most times with 3 way action… You cannot ever gain chips in this pot t. PERIOD! It was the best hold em advice that I could get as a beginning player.
The low is made by your opponent. I don’t care if I have AA23 double suited. Putting Your Chips In The Pot In Hopes To get Them Back.
PUTTING YOUR CHIPS IN THE POT IN HOPES TO GET THEM BACK:
I will limit this blog to the 3 most important topics to master to become a winning player at PLO8. and the ones that do will stand very little chance against the sharks they are now in the water with.
When I first started playing hold em, I was given the advice that hold em was a high card game…. They are SURE you would have bet the nut low already and now assume you only made a high hand.
Quality Starting Hands
A-2-x-x (with suited ace)
2-3-4-5 (Muck when no ace and other low card is flopped)
2-3-4-x (fold when no ace and other low card hits the flop)
Any four cards between a 10 and ace
You have absolutely no flush potential. I believe it is the easiest game to take advantage of bad players. although I will check this flop with 3 or more way action.
A-2 with a big pair or double suited I will min raise, All other premium starting hands I will limp.
MuckItForMe (Party Poker up until end of 2006)
ChiCubbies07 (Full Tilt after Party Poker banned US players 2006)
These statistics do NOT include cash games and sit and go tournaments.
Case study #2: You have A45K with nut hearts. You bet and your opponent makes a pot size raise. calling small bets is OK.
Time to get my “brag” on… The flop comes 864 with 2 hearts. NEWSFLASH: It is possible for more than one player to have the nut low.
The nut low, by itself, can be one of the biggest chip drainers in PLO8. or any pot limit tournament, is failure to understand the importance of controlling the size of the pot.
Many players will like this hand in the late stages of the tournament. Again you are heads up. Your opponent bets pot. Pot Control
3. All too often you will get 1/4 or 1/6th or even less of a monster pot which will cost you a ton of chips.
Correct Answer: FOLD!
There are so many aspects to consider to play winning PLO8. What do you do?
If you are now saying to yourself, “Wow, you do a lot of folding until you make the nuts!”…
How to play a low draw? Check! If you only have the nut low draw and zero high draw, do not call a bet of any significant size… Unlike hold em, there will be very few bad players that get lucky and advance… You MUST employ a survival strategy to be successful at PLO8. I have played over 20,000 PLO8 tournaments and have learned the game every step of the way.
CONGRATULATIONS! You now understand PLO8 tournament strategy.
How to play the nut low. I have consistently been ranked in the top 1% in the world of online players in PLO8. They have other draws straight and flush to go with the MADE low. AA2x or AA3x late in a tournament I will make a pot size raise preflop and take my chances of doubling up or getting knocked out, but these are pretty much the only hands I will take that chance with.
One of the biggest mistakes made by a novice player in a PLO8 tournament… In a multi way pot with a reasonable size bet, I will at least see the turn card in this scenario.
I have talked about survival strategy repeatedly on this website and posts.
Correct Answer: FOLD!
Will I call a raise outside of the big blind with this hand? No. Personally, I do not. don’t put too many chips in the pot without it. EVER… PLO8 is my game.
In the late stages of a tournament, when the blinds are big, I am looking primarily to play two way hands (two big cards and two little cards preferably double suited or at least single suited.)
The nut low is already made. In order to survive, you must always keep the pot within reasonable limits to pursue draws. Will I call a small raise in the big blind? Yes, but I will proceed with extreme caution.
How to play when you flop the nut low and either a made high or big high hand draw? BET! Value bet because you want callers. PERIOD!
How to play when you flop the nut low? CHECK! If you have no high or potential for high. Furthermore, when you play high hands and draw and get lucky and hit your draw, all too often the low will complete also and you will not actually increase your chip stack by constantly splitting pots with the low.
Early in a PLO8 tournament, I NEVER raise… You will see primarily the best PLO8 players in the money in a PLO8 tournament. It is also a poker game with an extremely low luck factor. I want people to come in and I will control the size of all pots to make sure I am still in the tournament towards the end.
Case study #1: You have AA47. Also, can your low be counterfeited where you could lose all of your chips and be out of the tournament after flopping the nut low and being too aggressive? Advantage, when the low is still good on the river, worse lows will usually pay you off… PLO8 is a game of draws and calculating the math of draws, so keep pot size controlled until you end up with the nuts.
Late in the tournament, I will raise several hands especially with position, but I will play wisely after the flop to prevent any pot from getting too large and being my demise.
Allow me to give you this advice on PLO8: It is primarily a low card game… Hand Selection
2. Nut Game
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