Using Reverse Line Movement To Win

Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.

The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.

So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.

Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..

By: Manny G

The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.

NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at. Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.

Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6. This is where an important word of caution is in order though. The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.

To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years. This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.

So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won). The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.

College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units.

Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares). To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego.

prosportsonline.net

So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.

http://prosportsonline.net

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The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport

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And this isn’t the first time that allegations of underaged gymnasts have plagued the Chinese team. Ten years after the 2000 Games, the International Olympic Committee stripped that Chinese Team of its bronze medal, after uncovering evidence that star gymnast Dong Fangxiao was only 14 when she competed.

So, if a gymnast looks like she couldn’t possibly be 16, there’s a good chance she isn’t yet.

Though He Kexin’s passport officially says that she was 16 at the time of the 2008 Olympic Games, Chinese media reported that she and other teammates may have actually been as young as fourteen at the time.

However, questions were later raised about her potentially being too young to compete.

He Kexin of China poses after winning one of two gold medals in the women’s uneven bars at the 2008 Olympic Games in Beijing.

How To Bet on MLB Baseball

However, there’s a price attached to wagering on a moneyline favorite, which will always pay less than a winning bet on an underdog.

Boston 8.5o -130

Handicapping small favorites and underdogs, particularly home underdogs, while watching out for good pitchers on bad teams, can go a long way in helping you steadily build your bankroll.

BETTING MLB TOTALS

MLB totals betting allows you to wager on the total number of runs that will be scored by both teams in a game. A successful MLB betting strategy takes into account the performance of starting pitchers and bullpens, team home/away records and head-to-head records, and what to expect from each team’s offense.

With even the best teams typically losing about 40% of their regular season games, regularly siding with big favorites can be a risky proposition for novice sports betting fans.

New York -1.5 +110

Moneyline odds can also be attached to the line, as such:. During the offseason, the regular season, the pennant races, and the postseason, sports bettors can wager on who will win the next World Series, league pennants, and division titles.

Boston +1.5 -140

New York -200

During the summer months baseball takes center stage, offering sports bettors a variety of unique wagering opportunities. Boston +170

New York 8.5u +110

The above game line means a bet on the favored Yankees costs $200 to win $100. Oddsmakers establish a betting line representing the total number of runs, with the sports bettor wagering either OVER or UNDER that number.

While the Yankees may be -200 moneyline favorites to defeat the Red Sox, their odds of winning by 1.5 or more runs could be dramatically longer, and may even make them underdogs, while the Red Sox could lose the game by a run but pay off as a favorite.

BETTING MLB FUTURES

Baseball futures betting is available all year long. Conversely, a Red Sox victory would win $170 with just a $100 wager.

For example, let’s say the New York Yankees are hosting the Boston Red Sox:

Odds can change daily in MLB futures betting with current performances, injuries, and personnel moves playing key roles in where the sportsbooks set the lines.

In the above example, the total is set at 8.5 runs but the OVER is favored, requiring a $130 wager to win $100.

BETTING THE MLB RUNLINE

The MLB runline is a 1.5-run spread on a game, as seen in this example:

And baseball lines are available daily, allowing both novice and hardcore sports betting fans to get in on the action with moneylines, totals, runlines, and futures.

BETTING THE MLB MONEYLINE

Betting on the moneyline in a baseball game is as simple as picking an outright winner